Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.035792 0.038671 0.041693 0.045106 0.048858 0.052863 0.057469
2025-02-23 0.031170 0.035243 0.039756 0.045147 0.051434 0.058566 0.067308
2025-03-02 0.028086 0.032850 0.038349 0.045203 0.053573 0.063533 0.076387
2025-03-09 0.025452 0.030573 0.036676 0.044550 0.054531 0.066885 0.083528
2025-03-16 0.023249 0.028550 0.035039 0.043656 0.054930 0.069367 0.089557
2025-03-23 0.021625 0.027076 0.033910 0.043221 0.055758 0.072315 0.096280
2025-03-30 0.020250 0.025796 0.032897 0.042800 0.056482 0.075071 0.102849
2025-04-06 0.018884 0.024422 0.031646 0.041929 0.056468 0.076728 0.107893
2025-04-13 0.018165 0.023852 0.031410 0.042394 0.058296 0.081043 0.117103
2025-04-20 0.017356 0.023102 0.030868 0.042369 0.059381 0.084307 0.124939
2025-04-27 0.016810 0.022676 0.030737 0.042900 0.061281 0.088872 0.135137
2025-05-04 0.016060 0.021918 0.030087 0.042614 0.061910 0.091502 0.142402
2025-05-11 0.015393 0.021251 0.029537 0.042455 0.062734 0.094518 0.150618
2025-05-18 0.014723 0.020546 0.028895 0.042111 0.063236 0.097036 0.158196
2025-05-25 0.014191 0.020014 0.028475 0.042076 0.064209 0.100367 0.167459
2025-06-01 0.013546 0.019283 0.027716 0.041457 0.064179 0.101995 0.173770
2025-06-08 0.012894 0.018512 0.026860 0.040632 0.063744 0.102877 0.178748
2025-06-15 0.012392 0.017947 0.026291 0.040233 0.063989 0.104939 0.186107
2025-06-22 0.011926 0.017416 0.025749 0.039845 0.064220 0.106974 0.193572
2025-06-29 0.011395 0.016762 0.024985 0.039045 0.063677 0.107556 0.198176
2025-07-06 0.011169 0.016576 0.024954 0.039473 0.065319 0.112253 0.211559
2025-07-13 0.010859 0.016243 0.024671 0.039450 0.066142 0.115462 0.222142
2025-07-20 0.010671 0.016098 0.024685 0.039937 0.067920 0.120609 0.237370